An improved approach to empirical modelling
by Jennifer L Castle and David F Hendry (originally published on VoxEU). There are numerous possible Read More …
Author: fpretis
Indicator Saturation to Detect Structural Breaks in Time Series: Response to Autobox Blog
The upcoming interview with David Hendry in the International Journal of Forecasting (now published) sparked a Read More …
Study suggests people’s belief in climate change is influenced by their local weather
New research has found local temperatures may play an important role in whether people believe in climate Read More …
Projections about global emissions cannot accurately factor in economic booms
Researchers have charted the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and GDP, known to Read More …
Non-stationarity: a fundamental problem for forecasting
History is littered with forecasts that went badly wrong, a fact sharply illustrated during the recent Read More …
Time is running out to prepare coastal cities for impact of rising sea levels
Coastal cities could see rises of more than two metres if global warming exceeds 2°C goal, Read More …