Sea-level projections through the 21st century for RCP 4.5, RCP 8.5 and High-end (RCP 8.5 with increased ice-sheet contribution) scenarios by aggregating spatial projections of individual sea-level components constructed in a probabilistic manner.
More information on the projections is available in Jevrejeva, Jackson, Riva, Grinsted, & Moore (2016) and Jackson & Jevrejeva (2016).
Please cite the dataset as:
Svetlana Jevrejeva, Luke P. Jackson, Riccardo E. M. Riva, Aslak Grinsted, and John C. Moore (2016), “Coastal sea level rise with warming above 2 °C”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1605312113
Luke P. Jackson and Svetlana Jevrejeva. (2016), “A probabilistic approach to 21st century regional sea-level projections using RCP and high-end scenarios.”, Global and Planetary Change. doi: 10.1111/joes.12148
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How to use
Each zip file contains projections of sea-level change (metres) relative to 1986-2005. Global averages are provided in single files, while gridded data is provided in multiple files where each file covers one time slice. Files are tab-separated and a readme file (within each zip file) describes the content of each column.
For additional information, queries, and data (incl. RCP 2.6, variance of individual components, etc.) please contact the authors: Luke Jackson (firstname.lastname@example.org).
|Description||RCP 2.6||RCP 4.5||RCP 8.5||Upper Limit|
|Global Average||Upon request.|
|Local Sea Level (1-degree grid, includes glacial isostatic adjustment [uplift])||Upon request.|
Data has been generated as part of collaborative projects with the National Oceanography Centre and the EU Rises-AM Consortium.